The future of humanity is in a serious crisis
New 2024/2025 fertility estimates show major economies are far below the 2.1 replacement level:
• South Korea: 0.72 (Critical)
• China: 1.00 (Critical)
• Taiwan: 1.11 (Critical)
• Poland: 1.10 (Critical)
• Spain: 1.19 (Critical)
• Japan: 1.20 (Critical)
• Italy: 1.21 (Critical)
• Germany: 1.35 (Severe)
• Russia: 1.37 (Severe)
• UK: 1.49 (Warning)
• US: 1.62 (Warning)
This isn’t a distant problem. We are heading toward:
Population collapse
Exploding elderly dependency
Shrinking workforces
Broken pension systems
Empty cities
Governments must prioritize policies to raise fertility: childcare support, housing reform, financial incentives, and cultural shifts
This is not optional. This is existential
Birth rates collapse when the cost (economic, psychological, social) of raising a life grows faster than the value society returns to families. People aren’t rejecting children, they’re responding rationally to an incoherent system.
You can’t ask for population growth while: • housing is scarce and unstable
• time is fragmented and overworked
• childcare is expensive and informal
• careers punish discontinuity
• the future feels uncertain or extractive
Fertility isn’t fixed by slogans or incentives alone. It recovers when life itself becomes viable again.
Societies that restore proportionality between effort, security, time, and meaning will stabilize.
Those that don’t will keep managing decline instead of reversing it.
This is existential, but not unsolvable.
It’s structural.
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